A New OPB Poll is Devastating. For Democrats.
A February 2022 OPB Poll Shows Strong Preference for Republicans and Conservatives
By Dr. Mark Anderson, MBA, DBA (ABD)
There was a poll by OPB back in February 2022 that was 𝘯𝘰𝘵 good for democrats. Especially so given that it was done by OPB and then sat on for over a month.
Here are the highlights.
In a generic ballot of Republican vs Democrat for governor, Republicans win 47% to 29% (with a very large undecided at 23%). That’s a win by nearly 20 points—well outside the margin of error. But, interestingly, when you add an Independent to the mix, Republicans still win — and more people move away from Dem to Independent: Republican = 26% (a 3% shift), Democrat = 16% (a 13% shift), and Independent = 21%. Still a large pool of undecided (37%) when deciding among three candidates but the support for a Democrat and Republican candidates drop across the board but far more from a Democrat candidate than a Republican one. Four times as much, in fact.
This is why Democrats are both furious at and fearful of Betsy Johnson, who is a Democrat but running as an “independent.” Betsy splits the vote and draws far more from the Democrat candidate than from the Republican and not enough to give either the Democrat or the “Independent” candidate a win. She virtually assures a Republican win.
But wait, it gets worse for Democrats
On social issues, the poll shows a very strong preference for a conservative: a 27% preference (very liberal/somewhat liberal, combined) for liberal vs nearly double support, 46% (very conservative/somewhat conservative, combined) for conservative. All those woke social issues Democrats have attempted to shove down the public’s throats is biting them in the backside.
Taxes and economy are always big issues and decisions points in every race. And there is even more support for conservative over liberal on economics, only 22% (very liberal/somewhat liberal, combined) for liberal, and a majority 51% for conservative (very conservative/somewhat conservative, combined).
Also, Oregonians appear to be done with the establishment and career (“experienced”) politicians. When asked if they prefer someone with experience in elected office vs an outsider, 47% preferred an outsider to only 27% preferring a politician with experience in office. That is a huge shift for Oregonian voters, which, like the rest of the West Coast, for decades has tended to prefer candidates with at least some elected experience. That bodes very well for candidates like Marc Thielman for Oregon Governor and Bridget Barton for Oregon.
Finally, it is exceptionally interesting that despite overwhelming Leftist media in Oregon, especially the Oregonian, Willamette Week, and OPB itself, people are seeing through the Leftist lies. When asked about the “seriousness” of right-wing extremism and left-wing extremism, more people saw left-wing extremism as very serious/somewhat serious, 69% (combined), vs right-wing extremism as very serious/somewhat serious, 56% (combined).
In all, this OPB poll is 𝙚𝙭𝙩𝙧𝙚𝙢𝙚𝙡𝙮 good news for Republicans, conservatives, and outsider candidates.
If you’d like to see the full poll, you can access it here: OPB Poll, conducted by DHM Research, February 28, 2022
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